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Apolonia Fier vs Laci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier
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Match Events

42' Event
Traore A.
47' Event
Kalaj S.
90'
Anane V.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Apolonia Fier and Laci finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Apolonia Fier
20%
Draws
51%
Laci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Laci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Laci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Laci are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 11%
Laci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Laci
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Apolonia Fier
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Laci
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
May 8, 2021 Abissnet Superiore
Apolonia Fier vs Laci
0:1
Mar 8, 2021 Abissnet Superiore
Laci vs Apolonia Fier
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Laci Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalaj S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 18 / 100
Laci 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Laci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laci let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Apolonia Fier's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS Laci
1.8 Goals Scored 1.75
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apolonia Fier

(Home)
07 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1
Maliqi
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6

Laci

(Away)
07 Oct
Laci
8 : 2
Kelcyra
19 Sept
Dinamo City
3 : 1
Laci
13 Sept
Laci
2 : 0
Vllaznia
05 Sept
Laci
1 : 3
Teuta
29 Aug
Partizani
1 : 2
Laci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)