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APR vs Gasogi United Prediction & H2H Stats

Rwanda Rwanda

Peace Cup Stade Amahoro, Kigali
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
APR
15%
Draws
7%
Gasogi United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • APR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • APR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • APR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Gasogi United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.77 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Peace Cup
APR vs Gasogi United
4:0
Mar 11, 2026 Peace Cup
Gasogi United vs APR
1:0
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs APR
0:3
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Gasogi United
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs APR
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 95 / 100
Gasogi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Gasogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gasogi United conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

APR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Gasogi United
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 7

Gasogi United

(Away)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bugesera 1
Etincelles 2
Gasogi United 1
APR 4
Gorilla 2
Kigali FC 2
Police 0
Rayon Sport 1
Semi-finals
Etincelles 2
APR 6
Gorilla 1
Rayon Sport 1
Final
APR 2
Rayon Sport 1
Etincelles 1
Gorilla 6