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APR vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
APR Logo

APR

2 - 0
FT
Musanze Logo

Musanze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between APR and Musanze finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
APR
30%
Draws
23%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APR come out ahead of Musanze on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors APR here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Musanze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Musanze
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Musanze
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs APR
3:2
May 28, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Musanze
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs APR
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs APR
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 50 / 100
Musanze 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

APR's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Musanze conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Musanze
2.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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Musanze

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)