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APR vs Sunrise

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Shaiboub Ali S.

AI Match Summary

APR in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
APR
20%
Draws
32%
Sunrise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • APR have won more games recently than Sunrise.
  • Win probability leans APR's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • APR have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Sunrise
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 26 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.74 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Sunrise
1:0
Nov 29, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs APR
0:1
Feb 4, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs APR
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Premier League
APR vs Sunrise
3:2
Dec 14, 2020 Premier League
Sunrise vs APR
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APR Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaiboub Ali S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sunrise Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 77 / 100
Sunrise 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Sunrise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Sunrise conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Sunrise
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
100% Over 1.5 33%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
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Sunrise

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)