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Aprilia vs Agnonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vasco L.
14' Event
Da Rosa R.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Laghigna E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Aprilia and Agnonese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aprilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aprilia
30%
Draws
31%
Agnonese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aprilia come out ahead of Agnonese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aprilia a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia Agnonese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Aprilia
2:4
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Aprilia vs Agnonese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasco L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laghigna E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Agnonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 68 / 100
Agnonese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia Agnonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agnonese conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Aprilia scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Aprilia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aprilia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aprilia

(Home)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 7

Agnonese

(Away)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 21 9 4 63:29 72
2 Notaresco Calcio 34 18 10 6 59:34 64
3 Pineto 34 15 11 8 45:33 56
4 Cynthialbalonga 34 14 14 6 51:35 56
5 Matese 34 15 11 8 46:38 56
6 Castelfidardo 34 14 13 7 46:33 55
7 Recanatese 34 13 11 10 62:45 50
8 Castelnuovo Vomano 34 14 8 12 53:53 50
9 Vastese 34 12 13 9 45:37 48
10 Montegiorgio 34 13 7 14 42:42 46
11 FC Rieti 34 12 8 14 38:42 44
12 Aprilia 34 11 11 12 43:49 44
13 Roma City 34 8 16 10 40:41 40
14 US Tolentino 34 9 13 12 52:53 40
15 Vastogirardi 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
16 Giulianova 34 7 10 17 33:50 31
17 Porto Sant'Elpidio 34 4 5 25 22:63 17
18 Agnonese 34 3 6 25 25:83 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)