Sport Picks
Aprilia vs Lupa Frascati - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 
Match Events
49'
49'
Murgia A.
66'
66'
D'Angelo A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Aprilia and Lupa Frascati finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lupa Frascati come out ahead of Aprilia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Aprilia's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 20%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aprilia | Lupa Frascati |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Lupa Frascati
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Aprilia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aprilia Compare
Top Goalscorer Murgia A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Lupa Frascati Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Angelo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aprilia 36 / 100
Lupa Frascati 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aprilia Lupa Frascati
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aprilia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Lupa Frascati let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Aprilia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aprilia VS Lupa Frascati
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aprilia
(Home) 07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2 Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1 Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0 Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3 Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2 Aprilia
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1 Casertana
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3 Arzachena
02 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 2 Tivoli Calcio
12 Mar
Aprilia
1 : 1 Lupa Frascati
26 Feb
Aprilia
1 : 2 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 3
Lupa Frascati
(Away) 14 May
Paganese
3 : 2 Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1 Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1 Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1 Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2 Lupa Frascati
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1 Lupa Frascati
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
02 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
12 Mar
Aprilia
1 : 1 Lupa Frascati
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 53:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Paganese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 56:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Arzachena | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:40 | 57 |
| 5 | Lupa Frascati | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:29 | 50 |
| 6 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:44 | 49 |
| 7 | Cassino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 8 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 51:55 | 45 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51:54 | 43 |
| 10 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 11 | Vis Artena | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:28 | 41 |
| 12 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 45:49 | 40 |
| 13 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 15 | Ilvamaddalena | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pomezia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 40:58 | 35 |
| 17 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Aprilia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)
