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Aprilia vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Laringe F.
85' Event
Murgia A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Aprilia and Palmese 1914 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aprilia
30%
Draws
31%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aprilia haven't matched Palmese 1914's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Aprilia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Palmese 1914
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Aprilia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Murgia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Laringe F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 68 / 100
Palmese 1914 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aprilia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palmese 1914 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Aprilia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Palmese 1914's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmese 1914
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aprilia

(Home)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
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Palmese 1914

(Away)
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)