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Aprilia vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Laringe F.
85' Event
Murgia A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Aprilia and Palmese 1914 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aprilia
6%
Draws
4%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aprilia haven't matched Palmese 1914's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aprilia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Palmese 1914
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Aprilia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Murgia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Laringe F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 95 / 100
Palmese 1914 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aprilia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palmese 1914 let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Aprilia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Palmese 1914's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmese 1914
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sorrento34217653:2870
2Paganese341911456:2968
3Casertana341771057:4058
4Arzachena341761151:4057
5Lupa Frascati3413111044:2950
6Palmese 19143413101150:4449
7Cassino341381342:4547
8Real Monterotondo341291351:5545
9Sarrabus Ogliastra341271551:5443
10Tivoli Calcio3410111336:3941
11Vis Artena349141124:2841
12Portici 1906349131245:4940
13Angri341091539:5139
14Atletico Uri341091545:6239
15Ilvamaddalena348141230:3938
16Pomezia348111540:5835
17SS Nola 1925348111544:5535
18Aprilia348101634:4734