Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aprilia vs San Teodoro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Aprilia Logo

Aprilia

4 - 2
FT
San Teodoro Logo

San Teodoro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Aprilia and San Teodoro finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aprilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aprilia
20%
Draws
0%
San Teodoro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Aprilia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aprilia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 20%
San Teodoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia San Teodoro
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 12 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.39 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group G
San Teodoro vs Aprilia
4:6
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs San Teodoro
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 85 / 100
San Teodoro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia San Teodoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Teodoro has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Away concern: San Teodoro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aprilia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (41 games).

Scoring Trends

Aprilia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aprilia

(Home)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 9

San Teodoro

(Away)
06 May
SFF Atletico (Inactive)
3 : 1
San Teodoro
29 Apr
San Teodoro
4 : 6
Aprilia
22 Apr
Lupa Roma
5 : 0
San Teodoro
15 Apr
Flaminia
2 : 0
San Teodoro
08 Apr
San Teodoro
2 : 5
Albalonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)