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Stadium Background

Aprilia vs SS Nola 1925

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bernardini G.
45' Event
Sparacello C.
(Penalty)
59'
Ceka I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Aprilia and SS Nola 1925 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SS Nola 1925.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aprilia
35%
Draws
32%
SS Nola 1925
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • SS Nola 1925 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aprilia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aprilia SS Nola 1925
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs SS Nola 1925
1:3
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group G
SS Nola 1925 vs Aprilia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sparacello C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 77 / 100
SS Nola 1925 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aprilia SS Nola 1925

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aprilia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

SS Nola 1925's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aprilia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SS Nola 1925
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aprilia

(Home)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

SS Nola 1925

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)