Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023

Aprilia

1 - 2

Tivoli Calcio

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Capuano E.

42'

Fall A.

80'

Sfano M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Aprilia and Tivoli Calcio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tivoli Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Aprilia

33%

Draws

27%

Tivoli Calcio

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tivoli Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Aprilia a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%

Tivoli Calcio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aprilia	Tivoli Calcio
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	9
Draws	10	8
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group G

Aprilia vs Tivoli Calcio

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Tivoli Calcio vs Aprilia

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Capuano E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Tivoli Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sfano M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aprilia 50 / 100

Tivoli Calcio 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aprilia Tivoli Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aprilia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tivoli Calcio has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aprilia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tivoli Calcio

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.5

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sorrento	34	21	7	6	53:28	70
2	Paganese	34	19	11	4	56:29	68
3	Casertana	34	17	7	10	57:40	58
4	Arzachena	34	17	6	11	51:40	57
5	Lupa Frascati	34	13	11	10	44:29	50
6	Palmese 1914	34	13	10	11	50:44	49
7	Cassino	34	13	8	13	42:45	47
8	Real Monterotondo	34	12	9	13	51:55	45
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	7	15	51:54	43
10	Tivoli Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:39	41
11	Vis Artena	34	9	14	11	24:28	41
12	Portici 1906	34	9	13	12	45:49	40
13	Angri	34	10	9	15	39:51	39
14	Atletico Uri	34	10	9	15	45:62	39
15	Ilvamaddalena	34	8	14	12	30:39	38
16	Pomezia	34	8	11	15	40:58	35
17	SS Nola 1925	34	8	11	15	44:55	35
18	Aprilia	34	8	10	16	34:47	34