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Aquidauanense vs Chapadao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 game between Aquidauanense and Chapadao finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aquidauanense
15%
Draws
27%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aquidauanense haven't matched Chapadao's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aquidauanense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 16%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Chapadao
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.35 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Chapadao
2:2
Mar 23, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Feb 1, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Chapadao
3:1
Jan 30, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Aquidauanense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 84 / 100
Chapadao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aquidauanense scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Chapadao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Aquidauanense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
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