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Aquidauanense vs Novoperario

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Aquidauanense and Novoperario finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aquidauanense
20%
Draws
38%
Novoperario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aquidauanense come out ahead of Novoperario on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aquidauanense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 19%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Novoperario
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
1:0
Apr 7, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 42 / 100
Novoperario 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Novoperario

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novoperario let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aquidauanense scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Aquidauanense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Novoperario
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica861115:619
2Operario MS850313:815
3Chapadao841311:1013
4Coxim82244:118
5Comercial MS80264:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dourados861111:519
2Ivinhema832314:911
3Novoperario832311:1011
4Aquidauanense83149:1510
5Operario AC81259:155