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Aquidauanense vs Novoperario

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Willian
49' Event
Mykaell
66'
Moreira J.

AI Match Summary

Aquidauanense in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Aquidauanense
22%
Draws
18%
Novoperario
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Aquidauanense have won more games recently than Novoperario.
  • Win probability leans Aquidauanense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 16%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Novoperario
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
1:1
Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Novoperario
1:0
Apr 7, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Aquidauanense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquidauanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mykaell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Novoperario Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 57 / 100
Novoperario 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Novoperario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AQU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novoperario let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aquidauanense scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aquidauanense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Novoperario
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
27 Jun
Misto
2 : 0
Aquidauanense
20 Jun
Aquidauanense
1 : 0
Comercial MS
02 Mar
Dourados
5 : 1
Aquidauanense
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Novoperario

(Away)
02 Mar
Novoperario
0 : 0
Dourados
24 Feb
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Novoperario
21 Feb
Novoperario
1 : 1
Corumbaense
17 Feb
Novoperario
3 : 2
Ivinhema
04 Feb
Dourados
2 : 1
Novoperario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Operario MS862014:320
2Coxim833212:1012
3Pantanal833210:912
4Costa Rica83238:711
5Nautico MS80086:210
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dourados852110:417
2Aquidauanense843113:815
3Corumbaense823312:139
4Ivinhema821512:167
5Novoperario81347:136
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)