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Aquidauanense vs Uniao ABC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aquidauanense in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aquidauanense
30%
Draws
34%
Uniao ABC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aquidauanense have won more games recently than Uniao ABC.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aquidauanense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aquidauanense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Uniao ABC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Uniao ABC
3:0
Apr 24, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Aquidauanense
1:0
Mar 9, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Uniao ABC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 34 / 100
Uniao ABC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Uniao ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao ABC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Aquidauanense found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Aquidauanense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Uniao ABC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.33
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 17%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
27 Jun
Misto
2 : 0
Aquidauanense
20 Jun
Aquidauanense
1 : 0
Comercial MS
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Uniao ABC

(Away)
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
29 Jun
Uniao ABC
0 : 1
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
21 Jun
Sao Gabriel MS
0 : 2
Uniao ABC
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