Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Maio F.
27' Event
Coppola F.
90' Event
Sparacello C.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ascoli in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aquila Calcio
40%
Draws
29%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Ascoli have won more games recently than Aquila Calcio.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Aquila Calcio
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Aquila Calcio
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Aquila Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Sparacello C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Maio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coppola F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 31 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquila Calcio's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Ascoli conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aquila Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Atletico Ascoli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Ancona
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1
Aquila Calcio
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
02 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Teramo
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ostiamare34247365:2579
2Ancona34237459:2276
3Teramo342111265:2974
4Atletico Ascoli341413755:3555
5Notaresco Calcio341312943:3151
6Aquila Calcio341491153:4451
7Giulianova341116740:3149
8Vigor Senigallia341213945:4049
9Fossombrone3411111228:3444
10Unipomezia3410121243:4242
11Termoli348151127:3039
12Maceratese341151843:4938
13AS Sora349111440:5038
14Recanatese34881839:5732
15San Marino Calcio34871933:6131
16Calcio Chieti348111531:5524
17Castelfidardo34652330:6523
18Sammaurese34572230:6920
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)