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Aquila Calcio vs Teramo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Salustri D.
37' Event
Pandolfi R.
53' Event
Salustri D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Aquila Calcio and Teramo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Aquila Calcio
20%
Draws
42%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Aquila Calcio haven't matched Teramo's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Aquila Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Teramo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Teramo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.52 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Teramo
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Teramo
1:3
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Aquila Calcio
5:2
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Teramo
3:2
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Aquila Calcio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pandolfi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salustri D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carpani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 68 / 100
Teramo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Teramo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aquila Calcio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Aquila Calcio scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Teramo has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Teramo
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
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Teramo

(Away)
07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4
Teramo
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)