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Stadium Background

Aquila Calcio vs Teramo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Salustri D.
37' Event
Pandolfi R.
53' Event
Salustri D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Aquila Calcio and Teramo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Aquila Calcio
11%
Draws
80%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Aquila Calcio haven't matched Teramo's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Teramo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 14%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Teramo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 21
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Teramo
1:3
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Aquila Calcio
5:2
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Teramo
3:2
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Aquila Calcio
0:2
Mar 23, 2016 Serie C - Group B
Teramo vs Aquila Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pandolfi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salustri D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carpani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 11 / 100
Teramo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Teramo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquila Calcio found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Teramo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Aquila Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Teramo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ostiamare34247365:2579
2Ancona34237459:2276
3Teramo342111265:2974
4Atletico Ascoli341413755:3555
5Notaresco Calcio341312943:3151
6Aquila Calcio341491153:4451
7Giulianova341116740:3149
8Vigor Senigallia341213945:4049
9Fossombrone3411111228:3444
10Unipomezia3410121243:4242
11Termoli348151127:3039
12Maceratese341151843:4938
13AS Sora349111440:5038
14Recanatese34881839:5732
15San Marino Calcio34871933:6131
16Calcio Chieti348111531:5524
17Castelfidardo34652330:6523
18Sammaurese34572230:6920