Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Aracaju FC

3 - 1

CS Maruinense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Aracaju FC and CS Maruinense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aracaju FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Aracaju FC

15%

Draws

59%

CS Maruinense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CS Maruinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Aracaju FC's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what CS Maruinense have produced (0.8).
Win probability leans CS Maruinense's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%

CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aracaju FC	CS Maruinense
Matches Played	14	30
Wins	6	6
Draws	0	5
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	1.43	0.8
Goals Conceded	2.21	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2

Aracaju FC vs CS Maruinense

3:1

Sep 10, 2024 Sergipano 2

CS Maruinense vs Aracaju FC

0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aracaju FC 10 / 100

CS Maruinense 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aracaju FC CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Maruinense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Maruinense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Aracaju FC scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Recent resilience: Aracaju FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aracaju FC VS CS Maruinense

0.88 Goals Scored 1.25

2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aracaju FC

(Home)

11 Oct

Socorrense

8 : 2

Aracaju FC

05 Oct

Aracaju FC

0 : 2

Santa Cruz SE

01 Oct

Socorro

7 : 0

Aracaju FC

24 Sept

Aracaju FC

2 : 0

Coritiba SE

21 Sept

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

2 : 1

Aracaju FC

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CS Maruinense

(Away)

01 Nov

Estanciano EC

3 : 0

CS Maruinense

25 Oct

CS Maruinense

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

19 Oct

Propria

0 : 0

CS Maruinense

16 Oct

CS Maruinense

4 : 0

Propria

11 Oct

CS Maruinense

3 : 1

Botafogo ASF

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