Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aracaju FC vs Propria

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Aracaju FC Logo

Aracaju FC

1 - 2
FT
Propria Logo

Propria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Aracaju FC and Propria finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Propria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aracaju FC
30%
Draws
47%
Propria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Propria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Propria's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Aracaju FC have produced (1.43).
  • Propria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%
Propria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aracaju FC Propria
Matches Played 14 16
Wins 6 6
Draws 0 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.43 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Sergipano 3
Aracaju FC vs Propria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aracaju FC 10 / 100
Propria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aracaju FC Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Propria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aracaju FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).

Propria has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aracaju FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aracaju FC VS Propria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aracaju FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Socorrense
8 : 2
Aracaju FC
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2
Santa Cruz SE
01 Oct
Socorro
7 : 0
Aracaju FC
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0
Coritiba SE
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
Page 1 of 3

Propria

(Away)
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
05 Oct
Propria
1 : 1
Socorrense
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Propria
27 Sept
Propria
1 : 1
Socorro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)