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Aragua vs Barquisimeto

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Sun, Jun 28, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aragua host Barquisimeto in the Copa Venezuela. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Aragua have averaged 0.75 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Barquisimeto's 1 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Aragua have won 1 to Barquisimeto's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.75) back Barquisimeto to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aragua
33%
Draws
27%
Barquisimeto
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aragua haven't matched Barquisimeto's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aragua a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Venezuela fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aragua Clean Sheet 20%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Barquisimeto
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Barquisimeto vs Aragua
0:0
Jun 28, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Aragua vs Barquisimeto
0:0
Sep 30, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Aug 14, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Aragua
3:1
May 19, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Barquisimeto
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 40 / 100
Barquisimeto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Barquisimeto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barquisimeto conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Barquisimeto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Barquisimeto
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia Anzoategui11003:13
2Deportivo Miranda00000:00
3Maritimo de Venezuela00000:00
4Avila10011:30
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamora11006:13
2Atletico Barinas11001:03
3Real Frontera10010:10
4Atletico El Vigia10011:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yaracuyanos11004:03
2Aragua10101:11
3Caracas10101:11
4Barquisimeto10010:40
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Urena11001:03
2Trujillanos10100:01
3Rayo Zuliano10100:01
4Lara10010:10
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monagas11004:03
2Mineros10101:11
3Bolivar10101:11
4Dynamo Puerto FC10010:40