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Aragua vs Avila

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Maza R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Aragua and Avila finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aragua
20%
Draws
0%
Avila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Avila haven't matched Aragua's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aragua's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Aragua Clean Sheet 68%
Avila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Avila
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.56
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Avila
1:0
Aug 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Avila vs Aragua
0:0
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Avila
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Avila vs Aragua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Maza R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Avila Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 95 / 100
Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Avila has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aragua found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Avila has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Avila
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
Page 1 of 6

Avila

(Away)
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Deportivo Miranda
4 : 0
Avila
06 Sept
Mineros
2 : 0
Avila
30 Aug
Bolivar
2 : 1
Avila
23 Aug
Avila
0 : 3
Monagas B
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)