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Aragua vs Bolivar

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ruiz L.
41' Event
Di Modugno R.
77' Event
Arismendi W.

AI Match Summary

Aragua in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aragua
20%
Draws
38%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aragua at 0.75 per game, Bolivar at 0.5.
  • Win probability leans Aragua's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aragua Clean Sheet 20%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Bolivar
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Aragua
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Bolivar
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Aragua
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Bolivar
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Aragua
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Modugno R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Arismendi W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 42 / 100
Bolivar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aragua scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Bolivar let in goals in 60% of their last 25 matches.

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Bolivar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1
Aragua
06 Jun
Aragua
1 : 2
Monagas B
31 May
Dynamo Puerto FC
1 : 2
Aragua
23 May
Aragua
2 : 0
Mineros
16 May
Maritimo de Venezuela
0 : 0
Aragua
Page 1 of 5

Bolivar

(Away)
24 Jun
Mineros
1 : 1
Bolivar
06 Jun
Bolivar
2 : 0
Deportivo Miranda
31 May
Avila
0 : 0
Bolivar
23 May
Maritimo de Venezuela
2 : 1
Bolivar
17 May
Bolivar
2 : 1
Monagas B
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lara1695224:1432
2Barquisimeto1694324:1331
3Urena1686224:1530
4Zamora 21666425:2124
5Yaracuyanos1673621:1824
6Academia Puerto Cabello B1662820:2020
7Atletico Barinas1662831:3220
8Real Frontera16321116:2911
9Atletico El Vigia16141112:357
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monagas B1483320:1327
2Deportivo Miranda1464410:822
3Bolivar1463514:1421
4Maritimo de Venezuela1455416:1320
5Dynamo Puerto FC1455416:1420
6Aragua1455412:1020
7Avila141948:1312
8Mineros140689:206
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)