Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aragua have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Caracas's 1.37 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Aragua slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 24, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Aragua. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Caracas at 1.37 per game, Aragua at 1.1.
- Model gives Aragua a 43% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Aragua, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aragua | Caracas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caracas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Aragua has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aragua found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aragua
(Home)Caracas
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Anzoategui | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Avila | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo Miranda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Maritimo de Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamora | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Atletico Barinas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico El Vigia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Frontera | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:12 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Yaracuyanos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 3 | Aragua | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Barquisimeto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Urena | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 3 | Lara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Trujillanos | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Mineros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
