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Aragua vs Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aragua host Mineros in the Liga FUTVE 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aragua have averaged 1.28 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Mineros's 1.43 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Aragua slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.06) point toward Aragua. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aragua
20%
Draws
35%
Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Mineros haven't matched Aragua's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aragua a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aragua Clean Sheet 10%
Mineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Mineros
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Aragua
1:1
May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Mineros
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Aragua
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Aragua
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Mineros
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 56 / 100
Mineros 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aragua has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aragua found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Mineros let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Mineros
2.25 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
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Mineros

(Away)
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
04 Oct
Mineros
3 : 2
Deportivo Miranda
27 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Mineros
20 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 0
Mineros
13 Sept
Mineros
4 : 1
Bolivar
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)