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Araguacema vs Interporto

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Araguacema
20%
Draws
47%
Interporto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Interporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Interporto lately — more wins on the board than Araguacema.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Interporto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Interporto, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 10%
Interporto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema Interporto
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2022 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Interporto
1:2
Dec 24, 2021 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Araguacema
0:1
Dec 21, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Interporto
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Araguacema
4:0
Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Araguacema
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema 30 / 100
Interporto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema Interporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Interporto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguacema scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Interporto let in goals in 68% of their last 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Araguacema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema VS Interporto
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema

(Home)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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Interporto

(Away)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
16 Sept
Batalhao
0 : 1
Interporto
12 Sept
Interporto
1 : 0
Taquarussu
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Araguacema 2
Interporto 1
Palmas 2
Tocantinopolis 5
Final
Araguacema 0
Tocantinopolis 2