Sport Picks

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Araguacema vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Araguacema
15%
Draws
48%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Araguacema haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • Araguacema are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Tocantinopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tocantinopolis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema
2:1
Dec 30, 2021 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema
1:0
Dec 27, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Tocantinopolis
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Tocantinopolis
1:0
Mar 4, 2020 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema 42 / 100
Tocantinopolis 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araguacema scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Tocantinopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Araguacema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema

(Home)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Araguacema 2
Interporto 1
Palmas 2
Tocantinopolis 5
Final
Araguacema 0
Tocantinopolis 2