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Araguacema vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
Araguacema Logo

Araguacema

4 - 1
FT
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguacema in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguacema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Araguacema
20%
Draws
10%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguacema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguacema lately — more wins on the board than Tocantins.
  • Araguacema are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema Tocantins
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.47 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Tocantins
4:1
Mar 10, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Tocantins
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema 85 / 100
Tocantins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguacema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tocantins conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Araguacema's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Araguacema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema VS Tocantins
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema

(Home)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 9 7 1 1 28:8 22
2 Capital FC 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Interporto 9 5 4 0 16:5 19
4 Uniao Carmolandense 9 5 3 1 11:8 18
5 Bela Vista-TO 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
6 Palmas 9 2 3 4 16:11 9
7 Nova Conquista 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Araguacema 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
9 Gurupi 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Tocantins 9 0 1 8 4:41 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 (Play Offs)