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Araguaia vs Rondonopolis EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
Sat, Mar 12, 2016
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguaia host Rondonopolis EC in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2016. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Araguaia at 0.5 goals for, 1.13 against; Rondonopolis EC at 2.71 for, 0.86 against. Head-to-head, Araguaia have won 0 to Rondonopolis EC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2016, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.68 vs 1.92, favoring Rondonopolis EC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Araguaia
6%
Draws
90%
Rondonopolis EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rondonopolis EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rondonopolis EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rondonopolis EC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 10%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia Rondonopolis EC
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.5 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2016 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0
Feb 3, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Araguaia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia 10 / 100
Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia Rondonopolis EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rondonopolis EC conceded in 60% of 20 recent games.

Araguaia scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Araguaia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia VS Rondonopolis EC
0.5 Goals Scored 2.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia

(Home)
24 Feb
Uniao Rondonopolis
4 : 1
Araguaia
18 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Operario VG
15 Feb
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Araguaia
11 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Mixto
04 Feb
Luverdense
0 : 0
Araguaia
Page 1 of 6

Rondonopolis EC

(Away)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luverdense1053220:918
2Sinop FC1053213:418
3Várzea Grande EC1043313:1715
4Cacerense1034315:1713
5Mixto1024416:2110
6Pocone1021712:217
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cuiaba852119:117
2Dom Bosco842213:914
3Araguaia84229:814
4Uniao EC82338:99
5Operario VG80173:251
6Rondonopolis EC00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)