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Araguaia vs Uniao EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Matogrossense 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 game between Araguaia and Uniao EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Araguaia
30%
Draws
62%
Uniao EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao EC come out ahead of Araguaia on wins alone.
  • Uniao EC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uniao EC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 12%
Uniao EC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia Uniao EC
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 0.62 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Araguaia
2:1
Feb 5, 2017 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao EC
0:1
Mar 6, 2016 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Araguaia
2:0
Feb 9, 2016 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia 19 / 100
Uniao EC 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia Uniao EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao EC conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Araguaia scored in 41% of their last 34 outings.

Araguaia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia

(Home)
24 Feb
Uniao Rondonopolis
4 : 1
Araguaia
18 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Operario VG
15 Feb
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Araguaia
11 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Mixto
04 Feb
Luverdense
0 : 0
Araguaia
Page 1 of 7

Uniao EC

(Away)
30 Mar
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Uniao EC
23 Mar
Uniao EC
0 : 3
Cuiaba
12 Mar
Uniao EC
2 : 1
Araguaia
23 Feb
Dom Bosco
0 : 0
Uniao EC
19 Feb
Uniao EC
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Luverdense 8 5 3 0 16:8 18
3 Mixto 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
4 Operario VG 8 2 1 5 7:14 7
5 Cacerense 8 0 3 5 7:16 3
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 15:10 14
3 Uniao EC 8 5 2 1 13:7 11
4 Araguaia 8 1 0 7 4:16 3
5 Várzea Grande EC 8 1 0 7 4:21 3
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)