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Araguaina vs Comercial PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

0 - 2
FT
Comercial PI Logo

Comercial PI

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI in this Série D 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Araguaina
35%
Draws
40%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Araguaina at 1.79 per game, Comercial PI at 1.1.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Série D 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Comercial PI
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2012 Serie D
Araguaina vs Comercial PI
0:2
Jun 24, 2012 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Araguaina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 67 / 100
Comercial PI 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Comercial PI has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Araguaina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Comercial PI
2.63 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

Comercial PI

(Away)
07 Oct
Comercial PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Comercial PI
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 1 2 20:16 16
2 Vilhena 8 5 0 3 17:10 15
3 Acreano 8 4 1 3 19:15 13
4 Penarol 8 3 0 5 16:16 9
5 Nautico FC 8 2 0 6 9:24 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 8 8 0 0 25:2 24
2 Mixto 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial PI 8 2 2 4 6:13 8
4 Santos AP 8 1 4 3 9:16 7
5 Araguaina 8 0 3 5 4:17 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 8 4 3 1 12:7 15
2 Campinense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
3 Horizonte 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Ypiranga 8 2 2 4 13:15 8
5 Petrolina 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
2 Sousa 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Feirense 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
4 Itabaiana 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
5 Vitoria da Conquista 8 1 1 6 7:13 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 4 3 1 15:9 15
2 Ceilandia 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 CENE 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
4 Aparecidense 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Sobradinho 8 0 3 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 8 4 4 0 13:4 16
2 Nacional MG 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Aracruz 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
4 Volta Redonda 8 2 2 4 5:6 8
5 Guarani-MG 8 1 3 4 3:11 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 8 5 3 0 14:4 18
2 Mogi Mirim 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
3 Ceramica AC 8 3 2 3 10:7 11
4 Marilia 8 1 4 3 7:15 7
5 Concordia 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Metropolitano 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
2 SE Juventude 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Arapongas 8 2 4 2 6:6 10
4 Brasil de Pelotas 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
5 Mirassol 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)