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Araguaina vs Comercial PI

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI in this Série D 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araguaina
6%
Draws
4%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaina lately — more wins on the board than Comercial PI.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Série D 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Comercial PI
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2012 Serie D
Araguaina vs Comercial PI
0:2
Jun 24, 2012 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Araguaina
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100
Comercial PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Comercial PI has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Araguaina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo851220:1616
2Vilhena850317:1015
3Acreano841319:1513
4Penarol830516:169
5Nautico FC82069:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sampaio Correa880025:224
2Mixto833213:912
3Comercial PI82246:138
4Santos AP81439:167
5Araguaina80354:173
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baraunas843112:715
2Campinense842211:814
3Horizonte83419:513
4Ypiranga822413:158
5Petrolina80359:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA862015:320
2Sousa83417:513
3Feirense83239:1211
4Itabaiana81345:106
5Vitoria da Conquista81167:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CRAC843115:915
2Ceilandia842214:1414
3CENE841317:1113
4Aparecidense831411:1510
5Sobradinho80358:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Friburguense844013:416
2Nacional MG83417:513
3Aracruz82335:79
4Volta Redonda82245:68
5Guarani-MG81343:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cianorte853014:418
2Mogi Mirim834110:713
3Ceramica AC832310:711
4Marilia81437:157
5Concordia81167:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Metropolitano84228:714
2SE Juventude83327:412
3Arapongas82426:610
4Brasil de Pelotas82336:79
5Mirassol81438:117