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Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2007
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AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Araguaina
30%
Draws
51%
Sao Jose (TO)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Araguaina have won more games recently than Sao Jose (TO).
  • Sao Jose (TO) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Araguaina have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Sao Jose (TO)
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2011 Tocantinense
Sao Jose (TO) vs Araguaina
0:3
Mar 13, 2010 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO)
4:3
Apr 5, 2008 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO)
4:1
Mar 1, 2008 Tocantinense
Sao Jose (TO) vs Araguaina
1:2
Apr 15, 2007 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO)
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 10 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Sao Jose (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (TO) let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Araguaina found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Araguaina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Sao Jose (TO)
2.63 Goals Scored 3.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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Sao Jose (TO)

(Away)
03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8
Sao Jose (TO)
26 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Batalhao
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina 10 7 0 3 19:8 21
2 Tocantins 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Tocantinopolis 10 4 1 5 13:13 13
4 Kabure EC 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
5 Tocantins B 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
6 Sao Jose (TO) 10 3 1 6 10:14 10
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 Gurupi 10 6 2 2 23:11 20
3 Paraiso EC 10 3 3 4 11:13 12
4 Juventude TO 10 2 5 3 9:14 11
5 Ipiranga TO 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
6 Interporto 10 1 3 6 8:21 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 (Second stage)