Sport Picks
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 
AI Match Summary
Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sao Jose (TO) haven't matched Araguaina's recent run of results.
- Sao Jose (TO) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Araguaina have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Araguaina | Sao Jose (TO) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2011 Tocantinense
Sao Jose (TO) vs Araguaina
0:3
Mar 13, 2010 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO)
4:3
Apr 5, 2008 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO)
4:1
Mar 1, 2008 Tocantinense
Sao Jose (TO) vs Araguaina
1:2
Apr 15, 2007 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Sao Jose (TO)
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Araguaina 10 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Araguaina Sao Jose (TO)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Jose (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Jose (TO) has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Araguaina scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Araguaina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Araguaina VS Sao Jose (TO)
2.63 Goals Scored 3.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Araguaina
(Home) 28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0 Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2 Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1 Porto Velho
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21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0 Galvez
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1 Porto Velho
03 May
Araguaina
6 : 0 SC Humaita
29 Apr
Araguaina
1 : 2 Vila Nova FC
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Sao Jose (TO)
(Away) 03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8 Sao Jose (TO)
26 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1 Batalhao
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3 Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2 Sao Jose (TO)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0 Paraiso EC
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03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8 Sao Jose (TO)
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3 Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2 Sao Jose (TO)
23 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
3 : 0 Sao Jose (TO)
09 Nov
Batalhao
3 : 3 Sao Jose (TO)
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gurupi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Alvorada | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:17 | 21 |
| 3 | Palmas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Juventude TO | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Ipiranga TO | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Interporto | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 12 |
| 7 | Paraiso EC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tubarao-TO | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Araguaina | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Kabure EC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 4 | Tocantins | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | 8 |
| 6 | Sao Jose (TO) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2008 (Second stage)
