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Araguaina vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

1 - 1
FT
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Araguaina
20%
Draws
51%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaina haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Araguaina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 37 41
Wins 13 17
Draws 12 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.49
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Tocantinopolis
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Tocantinopolis
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 40 / 100
Tocantinopolis 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Tocantinopolis let in goals in 68% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Araguaina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Tocantinopolis
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)