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Araguari vs Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uberaba in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Araguari
15%
Draws
85%
Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguari haven't matched Uberaba's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Uberaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uberaba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Araguari Clean Sheet 19%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguari Uberaba
Matches Played 16 38
Wins 0 19
Draws 2 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.19 1.79
Goals Conceded 3.94 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:6
Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:8
Oct 9, 2021 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguari 10 / 100
Uberaba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguari Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 38 matches.

Araguari scored in 19% of their last 16 games.

Difficult form: Uberaba registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uberaba
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguari

(Home)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

Uberaba

(Away)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)