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Araguari vs Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fornazier
17' Event
Igor Lemos
27' Event
Igor Lemos

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2024 game between Araguari and Uberaba finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Araguari
15%
Draws
85%
Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Uberaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uberaba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Araguari Clean Sheet 19%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguari Uberaba
Matches Played 16 38
Wins 0 19
Draws 2 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.19 1.79
Goals Conceded 3.94 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:6
Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:8
Oct 9, 2021 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araguari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Uberaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Lemos
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fornazier
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguari 10 / 100
Uberaba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguari Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.25 goals as a typical output.

Uberaba let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

Araguari scored in 19% of their last 16 games.

Away concern: Uberaba has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uberaba
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguari

(Home)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

Uberaba

(Away)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 8 6 2 0 21:7 20
2 Contagem 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 America TO 8 4 1 3 9:6 13
4 Boston City 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
5 Social 8 0 2 6 3:15 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 10 9 0 1 21:4 27
2 Tupynambas 10 7 0 3 29:8 21
3 Inter de Minas 10 4 3 3 19:17 15
4 Villa Real 10 4 1 5 15:20 13
5 Pocos de Caldas 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
6 Tres Coracoes 10 1 0 9 5:32 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Essube 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
2 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Paracatu 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Nacional Uberaba 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Araguari 8 0 0 8 1:33 0
6 Araxa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams