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Araks Ararat vs Cilicia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Armenian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Matevosyan R.
Assist: Onuoha O. M.
19' Event
Lagbel J.
32' Event
Matevosyan R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Araks Ararat
20%
Draws
22%
Cilicia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Araks Ararat have won more games recently than Cilicia.
  • Win probability leans Araks Ararat's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Araks Ararat have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Araks Ararat, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Cilicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Cilicia
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.62 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.85 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Armenian Cup
Araks Ararat vs Cilicia
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araks Ararat Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagbel J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ghulinyan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.19
Avg xA / game 1.43

Cilicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Matevosyan R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 83 / 100
Cilicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Cilicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araks Ararat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cilicia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Araks Ararat found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Araks Ararat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Cilicia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Cilicia

(Away)
08 Sept
Cilicia
3 : 5
Bitola (Am)
05 Sept
Tim Rhanbarthol y De (Am)
6 : 0
Cilicia
02 Sept
Zenica-Doboj Canton (Am)
8 : 0
Cilicia
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
20 Jun
Cilicia
2 : 0
Hiiumaa
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hayq -
Olympia Yerevan -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Mika 4
Bentonit 3
Araks Ararat 4
Cilicia 2
Alashkert -
TBD -
TBD -
BKMA -
Noah -
TBD -
Sardarapat 1
Syunik 2
Pyunik Yerevan -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat Yerevan -
Lernayin Artsakh 5
EcoVille 0
TBD -
Shirak Gyumri -
Urartu -
TBD -
Andranik 5
Echmiadzin 0
Van -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Gandzasar -
1/8-finals
Olympia Yerevan -
Ararat-Armenia -
Mika -
Araks Ararat -
Alashkert -
BKMA -
Noah -
Syunik -
Pyunik Yerevan -
Ararat Yerevan -
Lernayin Artsakh -
Shirak Gyumri -
Urartu -
Andranik -
Van -
FC Gandzasar -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -