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Araks Ararat vs Hayq

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026 Araks Stadium, Ararat
Araks Ararat Logo

Araks Ararat

0 - 2
FT
Hayq Logo

Hayq

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hayq in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hayq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Araks Ararat
20%
Draws
48%
Hayq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hayq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Hayq have won more games recently than Araks Ararat.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Hayq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Hayq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 First League
Hayq vs Araks Ararat
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 First League
Araks Ararat vs Hayq
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 30 / 100
Hayq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Hayq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hayq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Araks Ararat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Hayq conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Hayq
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
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Hayq

(Away)
24 Aug
Hayq
:
Olympia Yerevan
25 May
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 4
Hayq
18 May
Hayq
2 : 1
Mika
12 May
Hayq
2 : 0
Araks Ararat
05 May
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 4
Hayq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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