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Aral vs BuxDu

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aral host BuxDu in the Pro Liga. Aral are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Aral at 2.75 goals for, 0.63 against; BuxDu at 1.25 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Aral have won 1 to BuxDu's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 0.94) point toward Aral. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Aral
15%
Draws
32%
BuxDu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Very High Confidence
  • Aral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
BuxDu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral BuxDu
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 21 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Pro Liga
BuxDu vs Aral
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
BuxDu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral BuxDu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: BuxDu conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aral has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS BuxDu
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
05 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
31 Jul
Gazalkent
0 : 2
Aral
24 Jul
Aral
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
08 Jun
Jayxun
1 : 4
Aral
03 Jun
Aral
3 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 7

BuxDu

(Away)
05 Aug
BuxDu
2 : 4
Shortan Guzor
31 Jul
Jayxun
5 : 1
BuxDu
24 Jul
BuxDu
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
10 Jun
BuxDu
2 : 0
TerDU
05 Jun
BuxDu
2 : 1
Yaypan
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 13 11 2 0 30:8 35
2 Shortan Guzor 13 9 2 2 22:14 29
3 Kattaqurgon 13 8 3 2 17:7 27
4 FarDU 13 6 4 3 21:21 22
5 FC Lochin 13 6 4 3 20:14 22
6 Gazalkent 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
7 Olimpik-Mobiuz 13 6 3 4 27:15 21
8 Metallurg Bekabad 13 6 3 4 30:12 21
9 Yaypan 13 4 2 7 14:23 14
10 Jayxun 13 4 2 7 15:20 14
11 Respublika FA 13 3 3 7 14:21 12
12 BuxDu 13 3 1 9 12:30 10
13 Pakhtakor II 13 1 1 11 7:31 4
14 TerDU 13 1 1 11 9:30 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
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