Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aral vs BuxDu

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Arazov B.
66' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Aral and BuxDu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aral
15%
Draws
0%
BuxDu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
BuxDu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral BuxDu
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 21 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.9 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs BuxDu
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 Pro Liga
BuxDu vs Aral
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Arazov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

BuxDu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
BuxDu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral BuxDu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: BuxDu conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

Away concern: BuxDu has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS BuxDu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 6

BuxDu

(Away)
22 Sept
FarDU
3 : 1
BuxDu
17 Sept
BuxDu
1 : 2
Respublika FA
13 Sept
BuxDu
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
06 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
BuxDu
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
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