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Aral vs Kattaqurgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Aral Logo

Aral

1 - 0
FT
Kattaqurgon Logo

Kattaqurgon

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
(Penalty)
62'
Sattorov K.
62'
Sattorov K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aral in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Aral
15%
Draws
16%
Kattaqurgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than Kattaqurgon.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Kattaqurgon
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Kattaqurgon
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Kattaqurgon vs Aral
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
Kattaqurgon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Kattaqurgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Aral has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Kattaqurgon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Kattaqurgon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
08 Oct
Aral
3 : 0
TerDU
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
Page 1 of 7

Kattaqurgon

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
13 Sept
BuxDu
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
07 Sept
Kattaqurgon
1 : 3
Respublika FA
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
21 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 4
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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