Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aral vs Kattaqurgon

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Thu, Aug 27, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aral host Kattaqurgon in the Pro Liga. This one's hard to separate. Kattaqurgon have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Aral have conceded 0.81 and scored 1.77. Head-to-head, Aral have won 0 to Kattaqurgon's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring Aral. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aral
15%
Draws
40%
Kattaqurgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than Kattaqurgon.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Kattaqurgon
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 21 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Kattaqurgon vs Aral
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 40 / 100
Kattaqurgon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Kattaqurgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aral stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Kattaqurgon let in goals in 50% of their last 16 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Kattaqurgon
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
15 Aug
Aral
2 : 0
BuxDu
10 Aug
Respublika FA
0 : 0
Aral
05 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
31 Jul
Gazalkent
0 : 2
Aral
Page 1 of 7

Kattaqurgon

(Away)
21 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 4
Gazalkent
15 Aug
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
09 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 1
Jayxun
04 Aug
Kattaqurgon
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
30 Jul
TerDU
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 16 12 3 1 33:10 39
2 Shortan Guzor 16 10 3 3 24:17 33
3 Kattaqurgon 16 9 3 4 21:13 30
4 FarDU 16 8 5 3 29:23 29
5 Metallurg Bekabad 16 8 4 4 37:14 28
6 FC Lochin 16 8 4 4 24:17 28
7 Olimpik-Mobiuz 16 8 4 4 30:16 28
8 Gazalkent 16 8 3 5 31:20 27
9 Yaypan 16 6 3 7 19:25 21
10 Jayxun 16 4 3 9 16:23 15
11 Respublika FA 15 3 4 8 15:24 13
12 BuxDu 15 3 1 11 13:35 10
13 Pakhtakor II 16 2 1 13 10:39 7
14 TerDU 16 1 1 14 11:37 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)