Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Barroso
46'
El Guenaoui I.
73' Event
Benlloch S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Arandina and Colegios Diocesanos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arandina
6%
Draws
4%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colegios Diocesanos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arandina a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arandina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arandina Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Arandina
2:0
Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Arandina
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos
3:1
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Arandina
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benlloch S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arandina 95 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arandina Colegios Diocesanos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Colegios Diocesanos conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Arandina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arandina VS Colegios Diocesanos
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624