Sport Picks
Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
35'
35'
Barroso
46'
46'
El Guenaoui I.
73'
73'
Benlloch S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Arandina and Colegios Diocesanos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arandina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Arandina's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Colegios Diocesanos have produced (0.9).
- Model gives Arandina a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arandina have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arandina | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Arandina
2:0
Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Arandina
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos
3:1
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Arandina
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arandina Compare
Top Goalscorer Barroso
1 Goals Assists Leader Benlloch S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Colegios Diocesanos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arandina 95 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arandina Colegios Diocesanos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arandina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colegios Diocesanos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Arandina found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Arandina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arandina VS Colegios Diocesanos
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arandina
(Home) 26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1 La Virgen
Page 1 of 3
Colegios Diocesanos
(Away) 27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1 Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3 Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2 Palencia CA
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
12 Apr
Guijuelo
4 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
02 Apr
Numancia B
6 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
