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Arandina vs Cuellar Balompie

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arandina in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Arandina
20%
Draws
10%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arandina lately — more wins on the board than Cuellar Balompie.
  • Model gives Arandina a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Arandina Clean Sheet 19%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arandina Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.39 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Cuellar Balompie
3:0
Nov 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs Arandina
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arandina 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arandina Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cuellar Balompie conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Arandina found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

Recent resilience: Arandina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arandina VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arandina

(Home)
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 8

Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)