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Arandina vs Palencia CA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arandina host Palencia CA in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Arandina have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Palencia CA's 1.26 scored and 0.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Arandina have won 1 to Palencia CA's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.13) back Palencia CA to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arandina
30%
Draws
39%
Palencia CA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arandina haven't matched Palencia CA's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Arandina Clean Sheet 20%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arandina Palencia CA
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.16 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Palencia CA
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Arandina
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Arandina
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Palencia CA
2:0
Aug 24, 2022 Club Friendly
Arandina vs Palencia CA
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arandina 32 / 100
Palencia CA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arandina Palencia CA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arandina scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Palencia CA has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arandina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arandina VS Palencia CA
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arandina

(Home)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
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Palencia CA

(Away)
04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)