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Arapongas U20 vs Gremio Maringa U20

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense U20 2024 game between Arapongas U20 and Gremio Maringa U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arapongas U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arapongas U20
15%
Draws
85%
Gremio Maringa U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Maringa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arapongas U20 come out ahead of Gremio Maringa U20 on wins alone.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Arapongas U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Arapongas U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio Maringa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arapongas U20 Gremio Maringa U20
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.67 0.33
Goals Conceded 5 5.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Paranaense U20
Arapongas U20 vs Gremio Maringa U20
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arapongas U20 83 / 100
Gremio Maringa U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arapongas U20 Gremio Maringa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arapongas U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa U20 let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Gremio Maringa U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arapongas U20 scored in 33% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Arapongas U20 VS Gremio Maringa U20
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
4.63 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arapongas U20

(Home)
18 May
Arapongas U20
0 : 6
FC Cascavel U20
11 May
Arapongas U20
2 : 11
Azuriz U20
04 May
Araucaria U20
9 : 0
Arapongas U20
27 Apr
Athletico-PR U20
7 : 0
Arapongas U20
20 Apr
Arapongas U20
0 : 3
Sao Joseense U20
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Gremio Maringa U20

(Away)
25 May
Gremio Maringa U20
0 : 16
Sao Joseense U20
11 May
Gremio Maringa U20
0 : 8
Araucaria U20
04 May
Azuriz U20
3 : 0
Gremio Maringa U20
01 May
Campo Mourao U20
12 : 0
Gremio Maringa U20
20 Apr
Gremio Maringa U20
0 : 2
AA Iguacu U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico-PR U20 12 10 1 1 54:9 31
2 Azuriz U20 12 7 4 1 31:13 25
3 Londrina U20 12 7 3 2 37:17 24
4 FC Cascavel U20 12 7 3 2 32:12 24
5 Hope Internacional U20 12 7 3 2 24:8 24
6 Araucaria U20 12 6 2 4 32:19 20
7 Parana S.T.C. U20 12 6 2 4 35:28 20
8 Sao Joseense U20 12 5 2 5 31:17 17
9 Cianorte U20 12 4 3 5 24:25 15
10 AA Iguacu U20 12 2 1 9 7:28 7
11 Campo Mourao U20 12 2 0 10 22:43 6
12 Arapongas U20 12 2 0 10 8:60 6
13 Gremio Maringa U20 12 0 2 10 4:62 2
Promotion - Paranaense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario PR U20 11 9 2 0 33:4 29
2 Coritiba U20 11 8 2 1 29:9 26
3 Patriotas U20 11 6 2 3 28:13 20
4 Apucarana SC U20 11 5 4 2 21:9 19
5 Rio Branco PR U20 11 5 2 4 16:16 17
6 Parana U20 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
7 Batel U20 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
8 Rolandia EC U20 11 3 4 4 17:17 13
9 Cambe U20 10 2 5 3 13:20 11
10 Andraus Brasil U20 10 2 0 8 9:21 6
11 Iraty U20 10 1 1 8 8:34 4
12 Prudentopolis U20 10 1 0 9 8:43 3
Promotion - Paranaense U20 2024 (Second stage)