Sport Picks

Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Football Academy Stadium

Ararat-Armenia

4 - 1

Shirak Gyumri

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Balanta J. A.

Penalty Missed

41'

Mryan L.

Assist: Darbinyan R.

45'

Eloyan A.

Assist: Shaghoyan Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Ararat-Armenia and Shirak Gyumri finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Ararat-Armenia

28%

Draws

22%

Shirak Gyumri

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ararat-Armenia carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Ararat-Armenia a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Ararat-Armenia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 68%

Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ararat-Armenia	Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	19	5
Draws	8	6
Losses	7	19
Goals Scored	1.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

0:4

Apr 2, 2026 Armenian Cup

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Mar 4, 2026 Armenian Cup

Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Dec 1, 2025 Premier League

Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

4:1

Aug 24, 2025 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Eloyan A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oliveira H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Top Goalscorer Mryan L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 59 / 100

Shirak Gyumri 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ararat-Armenia Shirak Gyumri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shirak Gyumri has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Ararat-Armenia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ararat-Armenia scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Shirak Gyumri

1.75 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ararat-Armenia	27	18	6	3	50:25	60
2	Noah	27	16	8	3	61:19	56
3	Pyunik Yerevan	27	17	4	6	37:18	55
4	Alashkert	27	16	5	6	42:23	53
5	Urartu	27	14	7	6	43:26	49
6	Van	27	9	4	14	27:40	31
7	BKMA	27	4	11	12	30:42	23
8	FC Gandzasar	27	5	6	16	20:41	21
9	Ararat Yerevan	27	3	4	20	21:63	13
10	Shirak Gyumri	27	2	7	18	17:51	13