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Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan host BKMA in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ararat Yerevan at 1.03 goals for, 1.9 against; BKMA at 1.07 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Ararat Yerevan slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ararat Yerevan. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ararat Yerevan
30%
Draws
23%
BKMA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ararat Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ararat Yerevan come out ahead of BKMA on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ararat Yerevan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 17%
BKMA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan BKMA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan
1:2
May 26, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
2:2
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 66 / 100
BKMA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan BKMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat Yerevan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKMA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Ararat Yerevan's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ararat Yerevan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS BKMA
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan

(Home)
17 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 1
Shirak Gyumri
11 Oct
Urartu
2 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

BKMA

(Away)
18 Oct
BKMA
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
12 Oct
Pyunik Yerevan
5 : 0
BKMA
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 10 9 1 0 27:7 28
2 Ararat-Armenia 10 7 2 1 19:9 23
3 Pyunik Yerevan 10 6 4 0 24:9 22
4 Alashkert 10 5 4 1 24:8 19
5 Urartu 10 4 3 3 19:14 15
6 Sardarapat 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
7 Shirak Gyumri 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
8 Ararat Yerevan 10 3 2 5 9:16 11
9 BKMA 10 2 2 6 8:16 8
10 Van 10 2 1 7 8:26 7
11 Syunik 10 1 2 7 6:22 5
12 FC Gandzasar 10 1 0 9 9:24 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)