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Dep. Pereira vs Chico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pereira host Chico in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chico have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Dep. Pereira have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.69. Head-to-head, Dep. Pereira have won 2 to Chico's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.50, favoring Chico. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dep. Pereira
35%
Draws
37%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 16%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Chico
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.69 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pereira
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Chico
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Chico
1:0
Feb 5, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pereira
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 31 / 100
Chico 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chico let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pereira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Chico has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pereira VS Chico
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pereira

(Home)
14 Oct
Junior
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
11 Oct
Chico
0 : 1
Cucuta
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
20 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)