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Sao Joao PI W vs Comercial PI W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense Women
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Joao PI W host Comercial PI W in the Piauiense Women. Comercial PI W go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sao Joao PI W at 2.25 goals for, 2.42 against; Comercial PI W at 3 for, 0 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.17 xG vs 0.69) point toward Comercial PI W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Joao PI W
25%
Draws
35%
Comercial PI W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sao Joao PI W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Joao PI W have won more games recently than Comercial PI W.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Comercial PI W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sao Joao PI W Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao PI W Comercial PI W
Matches Played 24 1
Wins 15 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 0
Goals Scored 2.25 3
Goals Conceded 2.42 0
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao PI W 24 / 100
Comercial PI W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao PI W Comercial PI W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Joao PI W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sao Joao PI W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Comercial PI W let in goals in 0% of their last 1 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao PI W VS Comercial PI W
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao PI W

(Home)
30 May
Sao Joao PI W
3 : 3
Portuguesa AP W
27 May
Sao Joao PI W
0 : 2
CR Flamengo W
16 May
Portuguesa AP W
3 : 2
Sao Joao PI W
13 May
Sao Joao PI W
7 : 0
Ipojuca W
07 May
Perolas Negras W
1 : 2
Sao Joao PI W
Page 1 of 5

Comercial PI W

(Away)
13 Oct
Comercial PI W
3 : 0
Abelhas Rainhas W

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial PI W 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Skill Red-PI W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Parnahyba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Sao Joao PI W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Abelhas Rainhas W 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Piauiense Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI W 2 2 0 0 28:2 6
2 Oeirense W 2 2 0 0 15:1 6
3 Tiradentes W 2 1 0 1 9:3 3
4 Piripiri W 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
5 Piaui W 2 0 0 2 0:19 0
6 Corisabba W 2 0 0 2 2:31 0
Promotion - Piauiense Women (Play Offs)