Sport Picks

Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Ararat Yerevan

0 - 2

FC Gandzasar

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Emmanuel O. C.

38'

Fofana M.

49'

Mani B.

Assist: Kanda S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Ararat Yerevan and FC Gandzasar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gandzasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Ararat Yerevan

Draws

FC Gandzasar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ararat Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ararat Yerevan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Gandzasar.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ararat Yerevan.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 68%

FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ararat Yerevan	FC Gandzasar
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	6
Draws	5	8
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	2.38	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League

FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League

Ararat Yerevan vs FC Gandzasar

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly

FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Aug 1, 2025 Premier League

FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Apr 28, 2025 Premier League

FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Gandzasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mani B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Andrioli Rodrigues L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 95 / 100

FC Gandzasar 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ararat Yerevan FC Gandzasar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

FC Gandzasar let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ararat Yerevan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Gandzasar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS FC Gandzasar

1.13 Goals Scored 1

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ararat-Armenia	27	18	6	3	50:25	60
2	Noah	27	16	8	3	61:19	56
3	Pyunik Yerevan	27	17	4	6	37:18	55
4	Alashkert	27	16	5	6	42:23	53
5	Urartu	27	14	7	6	43:26	49
6	Van	27	9	4	14	27:40	31
7	BKMA	27	4	11	12	30:42	23
8	FC Gandzasar	27	5	6	16	20:41	21
9	Ararat Yerevan	27	3	4	20	21:63	13
10	Shirak Gyumri	27	2	7	18	17:51	13