Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ararat Yerevan vs FC Gandzasar

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Emmanuel O. C.
38'
Fofana M.
49' Event
Mani B.
Assist: Kanda S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Ararat Yerevan and FC Gandzasar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gandzasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ararat Yerevan
15%
Draws
0%
FC Gandzasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ararat Yerevan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 68%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan FC Gandzasar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs FC Gandzasar
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
1:1
Aug 1, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Yerevan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Gandzasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mani B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 95 / 100
FC Gandzasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan FC Gandzasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat Yerevan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Gandzasar conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: FC Gandzasar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ararat Yerevan scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS FC Gandzasar
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan

(Home)
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
21 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

FC Gandzasar

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
21 Aug
Alashkert
3 : 0
FC Gandzasar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ararat-Armenia 27 18 6 3 50:25 60
2 Noah 27 16 8 3 61:19 56
3 Pyunik Yerevan 27 17 4 6 37:18 55
4 Alashkert 27 16 5 6 42:23 53
5 Urartu 27 14 7 6 43:26 49
6 Van 27 9 4 14 27:40 31
7 BKMA 27 4 11 12 30:42 23
8 FC Gandzasar 27 5 6 16 20:41 21
9 Ararat Yerevan 27 3 4 20 21:63 13
10 Shirak Gyumri 27 2 7 18 17:51 13
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)