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Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ararat Yerevan
20%
Draws
36%
Sardarapat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ararat Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan haven't matched Sardarapat's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 14%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan Sardarapat
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat
1:2
Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat
5:1
Oct 30, 2025 Armenian Cup
Sardarapat vs Ararat Yerevan
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 31 / 100
Sardarapat 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan Sardarapat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sardarapat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ararat Yerevan scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Sardarapat has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Ararat Yerevan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS Sardarapat
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan

(Home)
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
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Sardarapat

(Away)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
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