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Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ararat Yerevan
33%
Draws
40%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shirak Gyumri haven't matched Ararat Yerevan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shirak Gyumri a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 17%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan
4:2
Apr 8, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 28 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan Shirak Gyumri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shirak Gyumri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Ararat Yerevan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ararat Yerevan scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS Shirak Gyumri
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%