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Araripina vs Jaguar

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Pernambucano 2 2013
Araripina Logo

Araripina

4 - 0
FT
Jaguar Logo

Jaguar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araripina in this Pernambucano 2 2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araripina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Araripina
30%
Draws
8%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Araripina average 1.47 goals a game right now, well clear of Jaguar's 1.34.
  • Model gives Araripina a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araripina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araripina Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araripina Jaguar
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 12 12
Draws 14 10
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
3:0
Aug 23, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
2:2
Oct 17, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
0:1
Oct 8, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araripina 85 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araripina Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araripina's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jaguar let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Araripina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araripina

(Home)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 7

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Centro Limoeirense 9 6 3 0 13:6 21
2 Araripina 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
3 Academica Vitoria 10 5 2 3 15:11 17
4 Jaguar 10 4 0 6 10:14 12
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 1 4 5 7:12 7
6 Sete de Setembro (PE) 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timbauba FC 10 7 3 0 19:8 24
2 Altinho FC 10 7 1 2 18:10 22
3 America PE 10 6 1 3 18:14 19
4 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 16:16 9
5 Vera Cruz 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
6 Serrano PE 10 0 3 7 9:25 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Play Offs)